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17/10/2019: Turkey’s attack on Syrian Kurds, President Bonsi speaks: “The situation can become tragic because now NATO is at a crossroads”
President Bonsi takes stock of Turkey’s attack on the Syrian Kurds:
“Assault on the Syrian Kurds could have repercussions on the whole international chess boards.
I have already highlighted the embarrassment of the United States, Russia and the EU in this affair, but there is an even greater problem, which could lead to a tragic and paradoxical situation at the same time.
Turkey has been part of NATO since 1952.
If Syria were to intervene militarily against Turkey – which we remember did not attack Syria, but the Syrian Kurds, considered by Erdogan of the terrorists -, it would take effect automatically the casus foederis provided for in art. 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty – identified with the acronym NATO -, established on 4 April 1949.
Article 5 states: The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all and consequently they agree that, if such an armed attack occurs, each of them, in exercise of the right of individual or collective self-defence recognised by Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations, will assist the Party or Parties so attacked by taking forthwith, individually and in concert with the other Parties, such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area.
Any such armed attack and all measures taken as a result thereof shall immediately be reported to the Security Council.
Such measures shall be terminated when the Security Council has taken the measures necessary to restore and maintain international peace and security.
Therefore, the states that today strongly condemn the assault of Turkey, tomorrow could find themselves fighting the Syrian Kurds and Syria alongside Erdogan.
At this point, there are five possible sceneries.
The first scenery is the one everyone is hoping for, namely that Erdogan suspends any war action against the Syrian Kurds without making requests; however, this hypothesis is difficult to achieve, as Turkey no longer wants Syrian refugees.
The second scenery, which is also desirable, provides that the Syrian Kurds lay down their arms and agree to move elsewhere to make room in their area for Syrian refugees; this scenario is also unlikely as the Syrian Kurds have been struggling for years to get a territory.
The third scenery is the one I mentioned above, namely the one in which the NATO alliance fights the Syrian Kurds and Syria; this act could have very dangerous consequences because a NATO attack on Syria could trigger the reaction of Putin, Assad’s historic ally.
The fourth scenery involves expelling Turkey from NATO, with the inevitable reaction of Erdogan, who would immediately seek new allies to take revenge.
The fifth scenery is the one that, once again, would bring the EU to its knees; in fact the EU should accept three and a half million Syrian refugees in Europe, with consequences that it is better not to assume.
This is the status quo of this absurd war which, in any case, will certainly not have winners, only defeated.
In the midst of this absurd situation, the UN obviously is silent, once again demonstrating its uselessness “.
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